Austan Goolsbee

Current Position: Member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers (since March 2009)
Boss: CEA Chair Christina Romer
Credit: Univ. of Chicago

 

Why He Matters

Goolsbee hails from the conservative school of economic thought represented by Milton Friedman and the University of Chicago. His belief in the Internet as a democratizing economic force is his claim to fame.

Goolsbee believes in free markets, small government and lower taxes, but not necessarily for the rich. He also stresses supporting the middle and lower classes, making him a popular adviser to Democrats like 2004 presidential candidate Sen. John F. Kerry (D-Mass.) and President Barack Obama.

Goolsbee earned his reputation by embracing the strain of economic theory that relies on data and people's psychological tendencies to make empirical judgments about the world. Such thought was popularized by Steven Levitt, author of Freakonomics and a good friend of Goolsbee's.

Goolsbee was the first economist to explain the potential of the Internet to democratize the business world. "When the Internet first came on the scene there was a dispute within the profession, one side saying the Internet is essentially going to make it a lot easier for companies to price-discriminate,” Goolsbee said. “The other side was saying the Internet is the great equalizer, it is going to make markets close to perfectly competitive, there shouldn't be any profits and it should make people much more price-sensitive. I am probably the leading guy associated with that. Now, I got lucky that it basically looked like my paper was right," he added.Grant, Jeremy, "Tomorrow's gurus: Becoming a professor at 25 brings unexpected hurdles," National Post, Nov. 2, 2005

Goolsbee joins the White House Council of Economic Advisers alongside fellow members chairwoman Christina Romer and Cecilia Rouse. In November 2008, Obama also named Goolsbee chief economist on the newly established President's Economic Recovery Advisory Board, which will be chaired by Former Federal Reserve chairman Paul Volcker.

Conservative columnist George Will predicted Goolsbee would be a welcome presence in a Democratic White House. "Goolsbee no doubt has lots of dubious ideas -- he is, after all, a Democrat," he wrote. "But he seems to be the sort of person -- amiable, empirical and reasonable -- you would want at the elbow of a Democratic president, if such there must be."Will, George F., "The Democratic Economist," The Washington Post, Oct. 4, 2007

Path to Power

Born in Waco, Texas and raised in Whittier, Calif., Goolsbee's parents named him after Stephen F. Austin, the leader of Texas’ forces in the battle of The Alamo and famed in Texas lore. However, Goolsbee's father wanted to spell Austan with an 'a' “because he was convinced that Austan would be a unique person.”Guy, Sandra, "Obama's man on the money; Wunderkind Austan Goolsbee has the president-elect's ear on fixing U.S. finance," The Chicago Sun-Times, Nov. 11, 2008

And he was in the world of economics. Goolsbee was a champion debater in high school before moving on to Yale, where he graduated in 1991.McTague, Jim, "Obama's Plan for the Tax Man," Barron's, Feb. 4, 2008 He then moved on to the Massachusetts Institute of Technology where he earned a doctorate in 1995. Joining the University of Chicago's economic team at age 26, he quickly became an outspoken proponent for Democratic ideas, even though he never really considered himself liberal.Lazaroff, Leon, "Economist at U. of C. gets credit from Kerry," Chicago Tribune, Sept. 23, 2004

By 28, he had written papers that attempted to disprove a popular Reagan era belief that raising taxes on the rich generates less revenue because the rich will hide income or work less, leading to smaller income for the government.

Goolsbee's first foray into politics came in 2004, when he worked as an informal adviser to Sen. Kerry's presidential campaign. In that position, Goolsbee found that President Bush's plan to use private investment firms to manage Social Security funds would cost $940 billion in fees over 75 years.Weisman, Jonathan, "The Politics of Social Security; Kerry to Use Study to Call Bush Plan a Wall Street Windfall," Washington Post, Sept. 22, 2004

During the 2004 campaign, Goolsbee got a call from a candidate running for a U.S. Senate seat in Illinois. That candidate was President Barack Obama. Obama's competitor, Alan Keyes, had called for a tax holiday for descendants of former slaves for two generations. Obama wanted to know how much this would cost. "Goolsbee estimated the cost of Keyes' tax holiday at between $7 trillion and $9 trillion." Keyes dropped the proposal soon after Goolsbee's analysis went public.McTague, Jim, "Obama's Plan for the Tax Man," Barron's, Feb. 4, 2008

Goolsbee hadn't known of Obama when Obama was teaching at the University of Chicago’s Law School. But after the Keyes incident, the two men became friends. "He and I saw eye-to-eye on economic stuff,” Goolsbee said. When Obama needed an economic adviser for his nascent presidential run, he quickly turned to Goolsbee.Uchitelle, Louis, "Bending Ears On Economics As '08 Nears," The New York Times, Nov. 8, 2007

Obama nominated Goolsbee as chief economist of the Economic Recovery Advisory Board in November 2008. Goolsbee also serves on the White House Council of Economic Advisers.

 

 

The Issues

Although Goolsbee hails from the conservative school of economic theory endorsed by Friedman at the University of Chicago, his theories tend to favor Democratic constituencies: the middle and lower classes.

He is essentially pro-free trade and against supply-side economics, arguing in a January 2008 New York Times editorial that cutting taxes for the rich simply does not raise government revenue, despite arguments by some conservative policymakers.

But he will have to make amends on his previous position on subprime mortgages. In a March 2007 Times editorial, Goolsbee said that regulators risked lowering home-ownership rates by overreacting to sub-prime lending practices.

“When contemplating ways to prevent excessive mortgages for the 13 percent of subprime borrowers whose loans go sour, regulators must be careful that they do not wreck the ability of the other 87 percent to obtain mortgages,” he wrote. “For be it ever so humble, there really is no place like home, even if it does come with a balloon payment mortgage."Goolsbee, Austan, "Irresponsible" Mortgages Have Opened Doors to Many of the Excluded," The New York Times, March 29, 2007

NAFTA

A Goolsbee misstep during the 2008 Democratic primary season caused his boss some political discomfort.Langley, Monica, "U.S. News: Candidates Court 'Big Business Brands' --- Obama, McCain Woo Famous CEOs in Bid to Burnish Their Economic Credentials," The Wall Street Journal, Aug. 14, 2008

After Obama commented on renegotiating the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) with Mexico and Canada, Goolsbee allegedly told a Candian diplomat that Obama's statements "should not be taken out of context and should be viewed as more about political positioning than a clear articulation of policy plans."

Goolsbee's words were leaked to the press, causing some uncertainty regarding Obama and Goolsbee's true stance on NAFTA. Subsequently, the Canadian government issued a statement saying "there was no intention to convey … that Senator Obama and his campaign team were taking a different position in public from views expressed in private." But rival Hillary Rodham Clinton continued to attack Obama for Goolsbee’s comments.Alberts, Sheldon and Blanchfield, Mike, "Ottawa sorry for role in Obama flap; Aide's memo suggests NAFTA remarks just talk," Canwest News Service via National Post, March 4, 2008

Taxes

At age 28, Goolsbee had made a name for himself by attempting to disprove the idea that taxing the wealthy would ultimately reduce government revenue.

Goolsbee studied the issue by looking at Security and Exchange Commission filings by public companies, which are required to identify the five highest-paid individuals within a business. He found that behavior by corporate chieftains changed slightly the year before a tax increase was implemented (essentially, they cashed out stock options).

But after that first year, a wealthy CEO would go back to his previous ways of reporting income. "In other words, he [Goolsbee] said, the executives didn't change their work habits, or earn less, or do much different over the long run because the tax rate went up. They just changed the timing of their tax payments for a year, then went back to normal," Goolsbee concluded.Longworth, R.C., "Rethinking the Reagan Creed: Scholar Finds Higher Tax Rates Add to Revenues," Chicago Tribune, Sept. 5, 1998

The Internet

Goolsbee's research on the Internet has brought him the most attention.

In 1999, neither Congress nor businesses really knew what would happen with the proliferation of interstate commerce due to the Internet. Companies like Amazon.com and eBay made it simple for a customer in Oregon to purchase from a seller in Florida. State governments were concerned about losing sales taxes because of the sudden larger market. In a paper entitled "In a World Without Borders: The Impact of Taxes on Internet Commerce," Goolsbee found "that applying existing sales taxes to Internet commerce might reduce the number of online buyers by up to 24 percent." He quickly became the go-to-guy for Internet economics.Goolsbee, Austan, 'In A World Without Borders: The Impact Of Taxes On Internet Commerce,' Nov. 1999

 

The Network

Goolsbee's main contacts come from the University of Chicago. Fellow professors of economics, Steven Levitt and Richard Thaler, co-author of "Nudge: Improving Decisions about Health, Wealth and Happiness," are in Goolsbee's inner circle.

During the campaign, Goolsbee worked closely with Paul Volcker, Robert Rubin and Jason Furman, Obama's senior economic adviser and an economist at The Brookings Institute. He also did some informal work advising Sen. John F. Kerry in the 2004 presidential race.

Goolsbee wrote regular columns for the New York Times and Slate.com (A publication owned by The Washington Post Company).

Campaign Contributions

Goolsbee has supported Democratic candidates through the years, although only two candidates have ever received funds from the professor. In total he has given $4,700. This includes $400 to John Wertheim's (D) unsuccessful 1996 House run in New Mexico, and $1,000 to Wertheim's run in 2000. The rest, $3,300, went to President Barack Obama in 2007 and 2008. Goolsbee's wife, Robin, also contributed $250 to Obama in 2008.OpenSecrets.Org